Monitoring of Russia’s Economic Outlook

Since January 2015, Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook is released in the form of analytical reviews under the general title «Operational Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and challenges of socio-economic development». Since September 2016, the publication's title was «Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook». Its task is to track current trends and changes in the Russian economy.

Monitoring is a publication of the Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy (Gaidar Institute).

ISSUES OF MONITORING OF RUSSIA'S ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

Inflation is slowing down, but pro-inflationary risks remain high

30 may 2025

At its meeting on April 25, 2025, the Bank of Russia kept the key rate at 21% per annum. In April, inflation slowed to 10.2% from a two-year hi...

Industrial production dynamic in Q1 2025

22 may 2025

The dynamics of the trend component of the industrial production index in Q1 2025 indicated a slowdown in growth rates and a possible transitio...

Balance of payments in Q1 2025

25 april 2025

In Q1 2025, the current account surplus of the RF balance of payments dropped by 17% compared with Q1 2024. The deficit of the financial a...

Central Asian states in the system of international development assistance programs

25 april 2025

The total volume of official development assistance (ODA) for the Central Asian countries — Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan &mda...

Federal budget execution in 2025: are there risks to fiscal sustainability?

25 april 2025

The slowdown of the Russian economy, deteriorating foreign trade environment, the key rate kept at a relatively high level, geopolitical challenges — all thes...

Real prices kept falling in Moscow secondary housing market in January-February 2025

21 march 2025

In January-February 2025, nominal prices in the secondary housing market in Moscow remained fairly stable with no explicit signs of growth over the year...

Income inequality in Russia to stop growing in 2025

11 march 2025

In 2022, Russian statistics recorded the lowest income inequality for 20 years. However, in 2023 there was an increase in inequality in almost all region...

Rapid growth in money supply keeps maintaining high inflation

04 march 2025

At its first meeting in 2025, the Bank of Russia kept the key rate at 21% per annum. In January, inflation accelerated to 9.9%. The reason for the i...

Foreign trade outcome in 2024

03 march 2025

In 2024, Russian exports amounted to $417 bn (-1.7% vs. 2023). Non-raw non-energy exports are also stagnating. The share of markets of neutral countries ...

Balance of payments in Q4 2024

06 february 2025

In Q4 2024, the current account surplus fell by 2.4 times compared with Q4 2023 resulting from reduction in the value of exports and a slight g...