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Tatyana Ivakhnenko on the decline in consumption inequality in Russia

07 july 2025

Tatyana Ivakhnenko, Researcher at Mathematical Modeling of Economic Processes Department at the Gaidar Institute, commenting for RBC on the SberIndex study on the level of inequality in the consumption of Russian citizens, noted that its decline can be observed even if income inequality remains unchanged.

Sanctions have redirected investment flows in the EAEU

04 july 2025

Alexander Knobel, Senior Researcher at the Gaidar Institute’s International Trade Department, in his study on foreign direct investment (FDI) in EAEU countries, expressed an opinion that external significantly affected the flows and distribution of FDI between EAEU member countries. “Nezavisimaya Gazeta” got acquainted with the expert’s research from issue No. 11(193), 2025 of the analytical review "Monitoring of Russia’s Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development".

Antonina Levashenko: “The increase in housing and utility tariffs will give a one-time increase in inflation but will not have a significant impact on the monetary policy”

04 july 2025

Increase in tariffs for housing and utility services from July 1 is an important factor in the modernization of the infrastructure of housing and utility services and should not have a significant impact on the monetary policy of Russia. Antonina Levashenko, Head of the International Best Practices Analysis at the Gaidar Institute, commented for Finam.ru.

Evgeny Goryunov: “The risk of default in the USA is still insignificant, but such a scenario is feasible”

02 july 2025

Evgeny Goryunov, Head of the Monetary Policy Department at the Gaidar Institute, believes that a default in the USA is unlikely in the near future, but this scenario has become noticeably more realistic. The expert gave his assessment in a commentary for TASS, commenting on the annual report of the Bank for International Settlements.

Dmitry Evdokimov: “High Central Bank rates encourage Russians to buy cars for cash”

02 july 2025

The key rate growth and economic uncertainty has led to an increase in the share of Russians buying cars without using car loans. Dmitry Evdokimov, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute’s Quantitative Analysis of Economic Effects Department said in a commentary for Nezavisimaya Gazeta.

Lora Nakoryakova: “Housing commissioning data allow us to say that national project targets have been met in a number of regions”

01 july 2025

In a comment for the Nezavisimaya Gazeta daily, Lora Nakoryakova, Deputy Director of the Gaidar Institute’s Center for Evidence-Based Expertise notes that the data on housing commissioning per capita allow the Ministry of Construction of the Russian Federation to report that national project targets have been met in 18 Russian regions.

Anton Beloglazov: "A downturn in developers’ activity will hit SME in the building industry"

28 june 2025

In a comment to RBC, Аnton Beloglazov, Head of the Evidence-Based Economics Department at the Gaidar Institute said that a downturn in large developers’ activity would affect small and medium-sized businesses operating in the building industry.

Denis Ternovskiy: “Mandatory GOST can make food prices fairer, but control is paramount”

27 june 2025

Denis Ternovskiy, expert at the Economic Policy Foundation commented for RTVI on the draft law on mandatory GOST for food products, noting that the innovation could lead to positive changes on the market.

Maria Girich: “Extensive use, pollution and deforestation lead to river shallowing”

23 june 2025

Maria Girich, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute’s International Best Practices Analysis Department, commented for Rossiyskaya Gazeta on the causes of river and reservoir shallowing and their impact on the economy and the environment. According to the World Meteorological Organization, the economic damage caused by droughts in 2021 will increase by 63% compared to the 20-year average. And according to the UN, drought could affect 75% of the world’s population by 2050.

Antonina Levashenko explained how investment changes will affect Russia's pension reserves

23 june 2025

Antonina Levashenko, Head of the International Best Practices Analysis Department at the Gaidar Institute, commented for Izvestia on the changes announced by the Bank of Russia in the rules for investing pension reserves of non-state pension funds (NPFs). The reform envisages the abolition of key limits on investments in securities, expansion of the list of allowed assets and increase in the share of risky instruments.

Maria Girich: “Binding a marketplace to its own services creates risks for competition”

22 june 2025

Maria Girich, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute’s International Best Practices Analysis Department, assessed in a commentary for Rossiyskaya Gazeta the desire of marketplaces to deploy a network of ATMs in their order points.

Ekaterina Papchenkova: “The draft law on platform employment does not solve the problem of ‘'grey’' employment”

21 june 2025

Ekaterina Papchenkova, expert, Center for Evidence-Based Expertise at the Gaidar Institute, noted in her commentary for Izvestia that the current draft law on platform economy, in fact, consolidates the existing state of affairs and does not solve the problem of ‘'grey’' employment.

Lyubov Filin: “Not all the labor pool is ready to go to work due to various reasons”

20 june 2025

Lyubov Filin, head of the Evidence-Based Regulation Laboratory, said in a commentary for Nezavisimaya Gazeta that one should not overestimate the readiness of the labor pool for immediate employment.

Evgeny Goryunov: “The key rate may decrease to 14-16% by the end of 2025”

20 june 2025

Evgeny Goryunov, head of the Monetary Policy Department at the Gaidar Institute, said in a commentary for RT that the key rate may be significantly reduced by the end of next year if the current trend of slowing inflation continues. «If nothing extraordinary happens, inflation will be around 6.5–7.5% by the end of the year. It is now slowing down very quickly, and so far this process looks quite stable. Accordingly, the key rate will continue to decline and, I think, will reach 14–16% by the end of 2025," the expert predicted. Evgeny Goryunov also noted that the Central Bank may reduce the rate more aggressively in case of a threat of overcooling of the economy, but he estimates the probability of recession in Russia as low, assuming GDP growth of 1.2% this year.

Kirill Chernovol: “The growth of non-cash payments in Russia is a normal trend that calls for quality regulation”

18 june 2025

Kirill Chernovol, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute’s International Best Practices Analysis Department, analyzed the trend of non-cash payments growth in Russia noted by the Central Bank in a commentary for Rossiyskaya Gazeta. The expert emphasized that this process is a normal worldwide trend but requires close attention to the security and stability of the digital infrastructure.

Lyubov Filin on the cooling of the labor market in Russia

17 june 2025

Lyubov Filin, Head of the Gaidar Institute’s Evidence-Based Regulatory Practice Department, assessed the current situation in the Russian labor market in a commentary for Forbes, noting signs of its cooling.

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