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Antonina Levashenko: “Slovakia and Hungary will not be able to abandon Russian gas by the deadline due to infrastructure issues.”

27 january 2026

Antonina Levashenko, Head of International Best Practices Analysis Department at the Gaidar Institute, stated in a comment for TASS that Slovakia and Hungary will not be able to find a replacement for Russian gas in the year and a half remaining before the EU's complete ban on its supply comes into force.

Kirill Chernovol gave his forecast for salary dynamics in 2026

27 january 2026

In a commentary for RBC, Kirill Chernovol, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's International Best Practices Analysis Department, assessed wage dynamics in Russia for 2026. According to his forecast, real income growth will continue but will be more moderate compared to 2023–2025.

Evgeny Goryunov: “The NWF reserves will last for at least five years”

26 january 2026

Evgeny Goryunov, Head of Monetary Policy Department at the Gaidar Institute, commented for RBC on the stability of the Russian budget and the National Wealth Fund (NWF) amid low oil prices.

Yury Pleskachev Addressed the Role of Institutions in Cross-Country Income Disparities

26 january 2026

Yuri Pleskachev, Senior Researcher at Quantitative Analysis and Economic Effects Department of the Gaidar Institute, presented an analysis of the causes of per capita income disparities across countries. He emphasized the role of institutions as a backbone factor that largely determines the depth and persistence of these gaps.

Evgeny Goryunov assessed the impact of US policy on the weakening of the dollar

25 january 2026

Evgeny Goryunov, Head of Monetary Policy Department at the Gaidar Institute, assessed the reasons for the decline in the role of the dollar in world trade and pointed to internal political risks for the US currency in a commentary for Vzglyad.

Diana Golovanova: “Stablecoins with income threaten banks with an outflow of $6.6 trillion.”

24 january 2026

In a commentary for Izvestia, Diana Golovanova, Expert at the Economic Policy Foundation, explained the essence of the political crisis surrounding the regulation of stablecoins in the United States. In her opinion, the conflict has gone far beyond technical disputes and reveals a fundamental clash of interests.

Sergey Drobyshevsky predicts a reduction in the key rate in February to 15–15.5%

21 january 2026

Sergey Drobyshevsky, Principal Researcher at the Gaidar Institute, assessed the situation with the reduction in bank deposit rates in a commentary for Izvestia.

Vladimir Sedalishchev: “The US trade war over Greenland could force the EU to return to Russian gas”

21 january 2026

In a commentary for Vzglyad, Vladimir Sedalishchev, Expert at the Economic Policy Foundation, assessed the risks to the European Union in connection with US threats to impose tariffs over the dispute over Greenland. In his opinion, Washington's move could force Europe to reconsider its energy sanctions.

Dmitry Evdokimov: “The European automotive industry had to shift its focus from Russia to other markets.”

20 january 2026

Dmitry Evdokimov, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's Quantitative Analysis of Economic Effects Department, commented on the situation in the European automotive industry for TASS. According to him, the sharp decline in car exports from the European Union was a direct consequence of sanctions and the disruption of trade chains.

Dmitry Evdokimov named the conditions for lowering car prices in Russia

20 january 2026

Researcher at the Department for Quantitative Analysis of Economic Effects Dmitry Evdokimov said in a comment to TASS that the average cost of new cars in Russia continues to rise due to structural factors in global and domestic markets. According to him, prices are affected not only by the shortage of semiconductors and rising raw material costs, but also by the growth of logistics costs, increases in taxes and fees, as well as a shift in supply towards more expensive models and configurations.

Evgeniy Goryunov: The VAT increase will add up to 1.7 p.p. to annual inflation

19 january 2026

Evgeny Goryunov, Head of Monetary Policy Department at the Gaidar Institute, estimated the impact of the VAT increase on the inflation in Russia in a commentary for Izvestia. He confirmed that sharp price increase in early January was linked to the tax growth.

Experts at the Gaidar Institute have assessed the risks of recession and foreign trade for the Russian economy in 2026

16 january 2026

Evgeny Goryunov, Head of the Monetary Policy Laboratory at the Gaidar Institute, and Vladimir Sedalishchev, Expert at the Economic Policy Foundation, assessed the main risks to the Russian economy in 2026 in comments to RBC, paying particular attention to the prospects of a possible recession and the dynamics of foreign trade.

Anton Beloglazov: Growth in income of the self-employed is linked to an increase in their number and frequency of work, and not to an increase in the cost of services

14 january 2026

Anton Beloglazov, Head of Evidence-Based Economics Department at the Gaidar Institute, in a commentary for Vedomosti, explained the reasons for the significant increase in income for PIT taxpayers, which exceeded Rb 3 trillion in 2025.

Tatiana Ivakhnenko: Digitalization and demand for STEM professions widen the wage gap between men and women

13 january 2026

Tatyana Ivakhnenko, Researcher of the Mathematical Modeling of Economic Processes Department at the Gaidar Institute, explained factors contributing to a record growth in the gap of wages between men and women in a commentary for Nezavisimaya Gazeta, which according to data from the RAS Institute of Socio-Economic Studies of Population, has reached its highest level since 2011. Researchers attribute this trend to a unique situation in the labor market, where record low unemployment is combined with a record labor shortage, leading to accelerated wage growth in "male" industries.

Evgeniy Goryunov on the theory of "creative destruction" by Nobel laureates Aghion and Howitt

13 january 2026

The WEALTH Navigator published the Evgeny Goryunov’s, Head of Monetary Policy Department at the Gaidar Institute, author column “Model it.” In this article, the expert explored how the Nobel Prize-winning models of abstract economic models work and why they are important for real-world policy and investment.

Evgeniy Goryunov: Rising gold and silver prices reflect weakening confidence in the US dollar

12 january 2026

Evgeny Goryunov, Head of Monetary Policy Department at the Gaidar Institute, explained in a commentary for Izvestia the reasons for rising costs of precious metals, linking it to a decline in trust in the traditional foundation of the global financial system.

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