Balance of payments in Q1 2026

Gleb Barabanov, Alexander Knobel, Pavel Trunin

01 june 2026

The current account balance of the Russian Federation’s balance of payments in Q1 2026 amounted to $12.2 bn, a 34% decrease from the corresponding figure for Q1 2025. The financial account deficit (excluding reserve assets) narrowed to $14.5 bn, compared with $16.8 bn a year earlier. The decline in net capital outflows was driven by a reduction in purchases of foreign assets. The ruble exchange rate weakened by 3.9% over the quarter (to Rb81.3 per dollar) but strengthened to Rb74.9 per dollar in April. The average ruble exchange rate is expected to be Rb75–85 per dollar in 2026.

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