Evgeny Goryunov, Head of Monetary Policy Department at the Gaidar Institute, estimated the impact of the VAT increase on the inflation in Russia in a commentary for Izvestia. He confirmed that sharp price increase in early January was linked to the tax growth.
Comments
Experts at the Gaidar Institute have assessed the risks of recession and foreign trade for the Russian economy in 2026
16 january 2026
Evgeny Goryunov, Head of the Monetary Policy Laboratory at the Gaidar Institute, and Vladimir Sedalishchev, Expert at the Economic Policy Foundation, assessed the main risks to the Russian economy in 2026 in comments to RBC, paying particular attention to the prospects of a possible recession and the dynamics of foreign trade.
Anton Beloglazov: Growth in income of the self-employed is linked to an increase in their number and frequency of work, and not to an increase in the cost of services
14 january 2026
Anton Beloglazov, Head of Evidence-Based Economics Department at the Gaidar Institute, in a commentary for Vedomosti, explained the reasons for the significant increase in income for PIT taxpayers, which exceeded Rb 3 trillion in 2025.
Tatiana Ivakhnenko: Digitalization and demand for STEM professions widen the wage gap between men and women
13 january 2026
Tatyana Ivakhnenko, Researcher of the Mathematical Modeling of Economic Processes Department at the Gaidar Institute, explained factors contributing to a record growth in the gap of wages between men and women in a commentary for Nezavisimaya Gazeta, which according to data from the RAS Institute of Socio-Economic Studies of Population, has reached its highest level since 2011. Researchers attribute this trend to a unique situation in the labor market, where record low unemployment is combined with a record labor shortage, leading to accelerated wage growth in "male" industries.
Evgeniy Goryunov on the theory of "creative destruction" by Nobel laureates Aghion and Howitt
13 january 2026
The WEALTH Navigator published the Evgeny Goryunov’s, Head of Monetary Policy Department at the Gaidar Institute, author column “Model it.” In this article, the expert explored how the Nobel Prize-winning models of abstract economic models work and why they are important for real-world policy and investment.
Evgeniy Goryunov: Rising gold and silver prices reflect weakening confidence in the US dollar
12 january 2026
Evgeny Goryunov, Head of Monetary Policy Department at the Gaidar Institute, explained in a commentary for Izvestia the reasons for rising costs of precious metals, linking it to a decline in trust in the traditional foundation of the global financial system.
Dmitry Evdokimov: Downturn in manufacturing industry is linked to expensive loans and structural transformation of the economy
11 january 2026
Dmitry Evdokimov, Researcher of Quantitative Analysis and Economic Effects Department at the Gaidar Institute, explained in a commentary for the RBC the reasons for slowdown in the industrial growth, where the main one is the decline in the manufacturing sector.
Antonina Levashenko: Renewable energy sources and new technologies will help avoid gas shortages after 2075
10 january 2026
Antonina Levashenko, Head of International Best Practices Analysis Department at the Gaidar Institute, considered in a commentary for RIA Novosti the potential risks for natural gas deficit in the second half of XXI century and underlined the necessity to invest in technologies and alternative energy already now.
Evgeniy Goryunov: Inflation at 5.8% signifies success of the CB strategy of “soft landing”
10 january 2026
Evgeny Goryunov, Head of Monetary Policy Department at the Gaidar Institute, commented for RBC why the current income dynamics pose a risk to the economy.
on total inflation for 2025 and explained the rationale behind the RF Central Bank actions. He believes that the expected outcome demonstrates successful implementation of a deliberate strategy by the regulator.Maria Girich: Cooking Olivier salad on gas stove results in the CO₂ emission up to 0.46 kg
09 january 2026
Maria Girich, Researcher of the International Best Practices Analysis Department at the Gaidar Institute, in a commentary for RIA Novosti estimated the carbon footprint of cooking a traditional New Year's salad. According to her estimates, cooking the ingredients for Olivier salad on a gas stove can result in the emission of almost 0.5 kg of carbon dioxide.
Maria Girich: Cooking Olivier salad on gas in Moscow estimated between Rb 1.2 and 2.4
09 january 2026
Maria Girich, Researcher of the International Best Practices Analysis Department at the Gaidar Institute, commented in details for RIA Novosti on the calculation of gas consumption for making the New Year Olivier salad. Citing data from Gazprom Mezhregiongaz, she explained that consumption depends on the burner type and the network gas pressure.
Kirill Chernovol commented on the record volume of lawsuits against corrupt officials in 2025
30 december 2025
The state may convert the assets and property of corrupt officials into revenue in a record amount of about Rb800 bn based on lawsuits filed in 2025. This forecast was given in a comment for TASS by Kirill Chernovol, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's International Best Practices Analysis Department.
Maria Girich pointed out the main polluters of the atmosphere in Russia
29 december 2025
Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's International Best Practices Analysis Department, Maria Girich, commenting for Rossiyskaya Gazeta on data from government report on the state of the environment, highlighted the key harmful substances that most often exceed the norms in the country.
Gaidar Institute experts: “The FTA agreement with Indonesia opens up long-term prospects for exports.”
29 december 2025
Experts from the Gaidar Institute, Dmitry Kuznetsov and Vladimir Sedalishchev, commented for Izvestia on the significance of the new free trade agreement (FTA) between the EAEU and Indonesia. The agreement, signed in St. Petersburg, provides for the elimination of duties on 94% of the union's commodity exports and will affect about $3 bn in mutual trade.
Kirill Chernovol: “The decline in Urals oil prices could not be offset by export growth.”
28 december 2025
Kirill Chernovol, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's International Best Practices Analysis Department, stated in a comment for Izvestia that sharp decline in Russian oil prices was not offset by an increase in physical supply volumes.
Kirill Chernovol: “Updating banknotes is a typical practice in cash management.”
27 december 2025
Kirill Chernovol, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's International Best Practices Analysis Department, stated in a comment for Izvestia that the process of modernizing banknotes is a routine part of the regulator's work.