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Alexandra Savina on data openness as a competitive advantage for marketplaces in Russia

24 october 2025

Alexandra Savina, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's Quantitative Analysis of Economic Effects Department, discussed the current situation regarding marketplace regulation. Alexandra Savina noted that while the debate was intensifying, the platforms themselves had a tool to mitigate concerns, that is, greater data transparency.

Gaidar Institute experts discuss new approaches to forecasting NBEATS and NHITS time series

24 october 2025

Experts of the Industrial Organization and Infrastructure Economics Department at the Gaidar Institute discussed new specialized architectures in time series forecasting: NBEATS and the recently introduced NHITS. These are replacing classic recurrent neural networks (such as LSTM and GRU).

Denis Ternovsky analyzed forecasts for wheat production in 2025/2026

23 october 2025

Denis Ternovsky, Expert at the Economic Policy Foundation analyzed forecasts for major agricultural crops for 2025–2026. Forecasts from the Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS), developed by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO UN), the International Grains Council (IGS), and the US Foreign Agricultural Service (PS&D FAS USDA), are most often used to analyze global production, consumption, and trade of major grains and oilseeds.

Andrey Zubarev warned of the asymmetric impact of the key rate on inflation

22 october 2025

Andrey Zubarev, Senior Researcher of the Department for Digital Finance at the Gaidar Institute,  revealed an anomaly in the impact of the Bank of Russia's key rate on inflation in a commentary to the Prime news agency. He believes that a rate cut accelerates price growth significantly more than a rate increase helps to curb it.

Anastasia Levchenko on regulating the car sharing market in Russia

22 october 2025

Anastasia Levchenko, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's Industrial Organizations and Infrastructure Economics Department, analyzed the main trends in the development of car sharing in Russia and regulatory experience abroad.

Vera Barinova on regional measures to support technological development

21 october 2025

Vera Barinova, Senior Researcher at Real Sector Department of the Gaidar Institute, explained how regional support measures help achieve technological sovereignty and why it is at the regional level that the foundations for technological breakthroughs are being laid today.

Evgeny Goryunov on the directions of monetary and financial integration of the BRICS+ community

21 october 2025

Head of the Monetary Policy Department at the Gaidar Institute, Evgeny Goryunov, spoke about the direction of monetary and financial integration of the BRICS community. One of the reasons for the increased interest of the BRICS+ countries in currency integration is the political risks associated with the use of developed countries' currencies, primarily the US dollar. It is assumed that currency integration will be accompanied by more active de-dollarization in the BRICS+ countries.

Anastasia Levchenko: “The rise in non-ferrous metal prices is linked to record gold prices and industrial demand.”

20 october 2025

Anastasia Levchenko, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's Industrial Organization and Infrastructure Economics Department, explained the latest significant rise in quotations for non-ferrous metals such as aluminum, copper, and zinc in a comment for Prime.

Anton Beloglazov: The HSE study on the contribution of migrants shows the distribution of income, not the actual contribution

20 october 2025

Anton Beloglazov, Head of Evidence-Based Economics Department at the Gaidar Institute, commented for Forbes on NRU HSE study. According to this estimate, the total contribution of migrants to Moscow's economy amounts to 23-25% of the gross regional product. The expert noted that the methodology used by the authors, while "quite feasible," has an important limitation.

Ekaterina Papchenkova: PIT mode has proven its effectiveness, but requires targeted modernization after 2028

16 october 2025

Ekaterina Papchenkova, Director of the Center of Event-Based Expertise at the Gaidar Institute,  commented to the Forbes on intermediary results of the experimental introduction of a professional income tax (PIT) for the self-employed.

Sergey Drobyshevsky on PMI, inflation and VAT

16 october 2025

Sergey Drobyshevsky, Principal Researcher at the Gaidar Institute, spoke to ”Izvestia” on current dynamics of business activity, inflation prospects and consequences of possible VAT increase.

Antonina Levashenko: China to restrict exports of synthetic diamonds to control chip supplies to the US

15 october 2025

China intends to tighten control over global high-tech supply chains by introducing restrictions on the export of synthetic diamonds from November 8. This was stated in a comment for Prime News Agency by Antonina Levashenko, Head of International Best Practices Analysis Department at the Gaidar Institute.

Sergey Drobyshevsky: “By the end of 2026, the key rate could fall by half”

14 october 2025

Sergey Drobyshevsky, Principal Researcher at the Gaidar Institute, shared his forecast for the dynamics of the Bank of Russia’s key rate in an interview with URA.RU. According to his assessment, by the end of 2026, the key rate could fall by almost half, from the current 17% to 8-10%.

Ekaterina Papchenkova allowed for the introduction of mandatory insurance contributions for self-employed after 2028

13 october 2025

In a comment for Vedomosti, Ekaterina Papchenkova, Director of Center for Evidence-Based Expertise, speculated on possible changes in the regulation of self-employment after the experimental regime ends in 2028. She focused primarily on issues related to social security and pensions for this category of citizens.

Lyubov Filin on distinguishing between lawful and unlawful marketplace practices

13 october 2025

Lyubov Filin, Head of the evidence-based regulation laboratory at the Gaidar Institute, explained in a commentary for Izvestia under what conditions a marketplace's combination of platform and seller functions can be considered fair practice and under what conditions it leads to abuse.

Antonina Levashenko warned about the risks of keeping savings in cash

12 october 2025

Antonina Levashenko, Head of International Best Practices Analysis Department at the Gaidar Institute, commented on the growth in the amount of cash held by Russians on the Moscow 24 television channel. According to the latest data, it has exceeded Rb18 trillion.