Alexandra Savina, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's Quantitative Analysis of Economic Effects Department, discussed the current situation regarding marketplace regulation. Alexandra Savina noted that while the debate was intensifying, the platforms themselves had a tool to mitigate concerns, that is, greater data transparency.
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Alexandra Savina on data openness as a competitive advantage for marketplaces in Russia
24 october 2025
Gaidar Institute experts discuss new approaches to forecasting NBEATS and NHITS time series
24 october 2025
Experts of the Industrial Organization and Infrastructure Economics Department at the Gaidar Institute discussed new specialized architectures in time series forecasting: NBEATS and the recently introduced NHITS. These are replacing classic recurrent neural networks (such as LSTM and GRU).
Denis Ternovsky analyzed forecasts for wheat production in 2025/2026
23 october 2025
Denis Ternovsky, Expert at the Economic Policy Foundation analyzed forecasts for major agricultural crops for 2025–2026. Forecasts from the Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS), developed by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO UN), the International Grains Council (IGS), and the US Foreign Agricultural Service (PS&D FAS USDA), are most often used to analyze global production, consumption, and trade of major grains and oilseeds.
Andrey Zubarev warned of the asymmetric impact of the key rate on inflation
22 october 2025
Andrey Zubarev, Senior Researcher of the Department for Digital Finance at the Gaidar Institute, revealed an anomaly in the impact of the Bank of Russia's key rate on inflation in a commentary to the Prime news agency. He believes that a rate cut accelerates price growth significantly more than a rate increase helps to curb it.
Anastasia Levchenko on regulating the car sharing market in Russia
22 october 2025
Anastasia Levchenko, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's Industrial Organizations and Infrastructure Economics Department, analyzed the main trends in the development of car sharing in Russia and regulatory experience abroad.
Vera Barinova on regional measures to support technological development
21 october 2025
Vera Barinova, Senior Researcher at Real Sector Department of the Gaidar Institute, explained how regional support measures help achieve technological sovereignty and why it is at the regional level that the foundations for technological breakthroughs are being laid today.
Evgeny Goryunov on the directions of monetary and financial integration of the BRICS+ community
21 october 2025
Head of the Monetary Policy Department at the Gaidar Institute, Evgeny Goryunov, spoke about the direction of monetary and financial integration of the BRICS community. One of the reasons for the increased interest of the BRICS+ countries in currency integration is the political risks associated with the use of developed countries' currencies, primarily the US dollar. It is assumed that currency integration will be accompanied by more active de-dollarization in the BRICS+ countries.
Anastasia Levchenko: “The rise in non-ferrous metal prices is linked to record gold prices and industrial demand.”
20 october 2025
Anastasia Levchenko, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's Industrial Organization and Infrastructure Economics Department, explained the latest significant rise in quotations for non-ferrous metals such as aluminum, copper, and zinc in a comment for Prime.
Anton Beloglazov: The HSE study on the contribution of migrants shows the distribution of income, not the actual contribution
20 october 2025
Anton Beloglazov, Head of Evidence-Based Economics Department at the Gaidar Institute, commented for Forbes on NRU HSE study. According to this estimate, the total contribution of migrants to Moscow's economy amounts to 23-25% of the gross regional product. The expert noted that the methodology used by the authors, while "quite feasible," has an important limitation.
Ekaterina Papchenkova: PIT mode has proven its effectiveness, but requires targeted modernization after 2028
16 october 2025
Ekaterina Papchenkova, Director of the Center of Event-Based Expertise at the Gaidar Institute, commented to the Forbes on intermediary results of the experimental introduction of a professional income tax (PIT) for the self-employed.
Sergey Drobyshevsky on PMI, inflation and VAT
16 october 2025
Sergey Drobyshevsky, Principal Researcher at the Gaidar Institute, spoke to ”Izvestia” on current dynamics of business activity, inflation prospects and consequences of possible VAT increase.
Antonina Levashenko: China to restrict exports of synthetic diamonds to control chip supplies to the US
15 october 2025
China intends to tighten control over global high-tech supply chains by introducing restrictions on the export of synthetic diamonds from November 8. This was stated in a comment for Prime News Agency by Antonina Levashenko, Head of International Best Practices Analysis Department at the Gaidar Institute.
Sergey Drobyshevsky: “By the end of 2026, the key rate could fall by half”
14 october 2025
Sergey Drobyshevsky, Principal Researcher at the Gaidar Institute, shared his forecast for the dynamics of the Bank of Russia’s key rate in an interview with URA.RU. According to his assessment, by the end of 2026, the key rate could fall by almost half, from the current 17% to 8-10%.
Ekaterina Papchenkova allowed for the introduction of mandatory insurance contributions for self-employed after 2028
13 october 2025
In a comment for Vedomosti, Ekaterina Papchenkova, Director of Center for Evidence-Based Expertise, speculated on possible changes in the regulation of self-employment after the experimental regime ends in 2028. She focused primarily on issues related to social security and pensions for this category of citizens.
Lyubov Filin on distinguishing between lawful and unlawful marketplace practices
13 october 2025
Lyubov Filin, Head of the evidence-based regulation laboratory at the Gaidar Institute, explained in a commentary for Izvestia under what conditions a marketplace's combination of platform and seller functions can be considered fair practice and under what conditions it leads to abuse.
Antonina Levashenko warned about the risks of keeping savings in cash
12 october 2025
Antonina Levashenko, Head of International Best Practices Analysis Department at the Gaidar Institute, commented on the growth in the amount of cash held by Russians on the Moscow 24 television channel. According to the latest data, it has exceeded Rb18 trillion.