Researchers from the Gaidar Institute's Industrial Organization and Infrastructure Economics Department discussed the use of large language models (LLMs) for analyzing economic news. They use AI to determine the semantic tone of texts, which is a key step in building a news index.
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Experts from the Gaidar Institute discussed the advantages of DeepSeek R1 for economic forecasting
18 november 2025
Yuri Pleskachev on the pitfalls of interpreting the impact of institutions on economic growth
17 november 2025
Senior Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's Department of Quantitative Analysis of Economic Effects Yuri Pleskachev analyzed the key problems in assessing the impact of institutions on economic growth.
The expert highlighted why international comparisons in this area are fraught with serious methodological pitfalls.
Kirill Chernovol: “The US decision to stop minting pennies is dictated by economic expediency.”
16 november 2025
Kirill Chernovol, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's International Best Practices Analysis Department, commented on the US decision to stop minting one-cent coins for Izvestia, explaining that it was primarily driven by economic reasons.
Evgeny Goryunov: “The VAT increase will prolong the inflationary effect into the first quarter of 2026.”
15 november 2025
In a commentary for Izvestia, Evgeny Goryunov, Head of Monetary Policy Department at the Gaidar Institute, spoke on the impact of the upcoming VAT increase on inflation, suggesting that its effect will be more prolonged than predicted by the Bank of Russia.
Laura Nakoryakova: "Owners of order pickup points plan to expand despite modest revenues"
15 november 2025
Laura Nakoryakova, partner at the Gaidar Institute's Center for Evidence-Based Expertise (CEBE), commented for Vedomosti on research data revealing the financial performance and plans of owners of order pickup points (OPP).
Ekaterina Galeeva: Russia will maintain budget stability while continuing OPEC+ "manual control" policy
14 november 2025
Ekaterina Galeeva, a Researcher at the Industrial Organization and Infrastructure Economics Department at the Gaidar Institute, explained in a commentary for the "Vzglyad" newspaper the sharp drop in global oil prices and considered possible scenarios for the Russian economy.
Antonina Levashenko warned about risks of further reduction of Russia’s oil and gas revenues
13 november 2025
Antonina Levashenko, Head of International Best Practices Analysis Department at the Gaidar Institute, in a commentary for Izvestia assessed the reasons for reduction in federal oil and gas revenues and outlined the challenges facing the Russian industry in the coming years.
Roman Karikh assessed the prospects for preferential mortgage programs
12 november 2025
Roman Karikh, Senior Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's Evidence-Based Economics Department, spoke about trends in the mortgage market in a commentary for Izvestia. According to him, the market is recovering against the backdrop of a decline in the key rate, and preferential programs, primarily family mortgages, remain its main driver.
Vladimir Sedalishchev: “Russia and Kazakhstan have created unique conditions for sustainable trade growth”
11 november 2025
Vladimir Sedalishchev, Expert at Economic Policy Foundation, commented on the strengthening of economic ties between Russia and Kazakhstan for “World. Opinion” program on the MIR 24 TV channel. He attributed the growth in annual trade turnover to systematic work within the framework of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU).
Evgeny Goryunov warned of inflationary risks from wage growth
11 november 2025
Evgeny Goryunov, Head of Monetary Policy Department at the Gaidar Institute, explained in a comment for RBC why the current income dynamics pose a risk to the economy.
Lyubov Filin: “Platform employment in economically developed regions is developing as an independent sector”
10 november 2025
Lyubov Filin, Head of Evidence-Based Regulatory Practice Department at the Gaidar Institute,explained the regional differences in the development of platform employment in Russia in a commentary for Nezavisimaya Gazeta.
Kirill Chernovol assessed the potential of the SPO experiment in combating the shortage of personnel
09 november 2025
Kirill Chernovol, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's International Best Practices Analysis Department Kirill Chernovol, in a commentary for Nezavisimaya Gazeta, assessed the government's plans to extend the experiment on the accessibility of secondary vocational education (SVE) until 2029. According to the expert, this measure alone will not be able to eliminate the nationwide shortage of workers.
Antonina Levashenko warned of an increase in aluminum prices to $3,000 per ton
08 november 2025
Antonina Levashenko, Head of International Best Practices Analysis Department at the Gaidar Institute, expressed her opinion on the likely significant increase in global aluminum prices in a comment for Prime. According to her, the cost of the metal could reach $3,000 per ton as early as next year if new production capacities are not introduced.
Olga Magomedova: ”Sick leave for most Russians will amount to about Rb1,800 per day."
07 november 2025
Olga Magomedova, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's International Best Practices Analysis Department, explained in a comment for Izvestiya how sick leave payments are calculated and what amounts Russians can expect in 2026.
Kirill Chernovol predicted fluctuations in the price of zinc in the range of $2,900–3,200 per ton
07 november 2025
Kirill Chernovol, Researcher at the Gaidar Institute's International Best Practices Analysis Department, commented for Prime magazine, in which he assessed zinc price fluctuations until the end of the year. According to the expert, the key factor will be the expected surplus of metal on the world market.
Evgeny Goryunov on the risks of a sharp reduction in the key interest rate in Russia
31 october 2025
In a commentary for Vzglyad, Evgeny Goryunov, Head of Monetary Policy Department at the Gaidar Institute, explained why a sharp reduction in the key interest rate in the Russian Federation could lead to hyperinflation, while in a number of other countries the rate could remain below 3-4% and stimulate economic growth.