Russia’s involvement in the Ukrainian conflict has led to several main outcomes, among which boosting growth rates of capital outflow from the country.
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Easing access to loans may boost inflation and defaults in repayment
03 july 2014
In her report at the 23rd International Banking Congress in St. Petersburg Chairwoman of the Bank of Russia Nabiullina E. S. paid a special emphasis to the objectives of the regulator’s current monetary policy.
Budget will be balanced at the expense of economic growth
02 july 2014
The Government Commission for Budget Projects will consider on July 2, 2014 a Draft Federal Budget for 2015 and the Planning Period of 2016 and 2017, taking account of the recent proposals of the Ministry of Finance Russia on reducing budget deficit by more than 0.5 p.p. of GDP (from 1 to 0.4% of GDP).
Introduction of sales tax would be extremely undesirable
02 july 2014
The idea of introduction of sales tax (ST) in Russia, which seemed to have finally reached back, is relevant again: the Russian Government is considering a possibility to entitle the constituent territories of the Russian Federation to introduce ST at a rate of up to 3% on their territory.
Any further trade barriers entail welfare losses for all parties concerned
01 july 2014
A document was signed on the 27th of June that made Moscow say it will rise import duties on goods from Ukraine, referring to the need for the protection of Russian manufacturers from a likely heavy inflow of Ukraine-made products and the risks of duty-free import of goods from the European Union via Ukraine.
Extension of maturities on loans to banks has no effect on liquidity
30 june 2014
On June 30, 2014, the Bank of Russia extended the maturity from 365 to 549 days for secured loans to banks as part of continuing operations. This policy is applicable to loans secured by non-market assets or guarantees, as well as gold-backed loans.
Refusal of Belarus and Kazakhstan was Predicted
30 june 2014
Belarus and Kazakhstan refused to support Russia's proposal to limit the import of Ukrainian goods to the entire territory of the Customs Union. Russia submitted for consideration by the Eurasian Economic Commission its proposal on a new regime of export for Ukrainian goods, but it was rejected.
On June 27, during the summit in Brussels Ukraine and the European Union signed the economic part of the agreement on association which provides for establishment of a free trade zone.
27 june 2014
In theory, Russia may increase the import duty rates on Ukraine goods from the preferential level (zero rates nearly on all the goods) to the most favorable treatment regime (MFT), that is, the level of duties on trade with countries which are not in the CIS free trade zone.
Downward Trend in Investment Demand Still Prevails
27 june 2014
In the first five months of 2014, a downward trend in investment demand prevailed: in May 2014 investments in capital assets amounted to 97.4% against May 2013, while in January-May 2014, to 96.2% against January-May 2013.
The Existing Growth Factors Can Maintain the Economy Maximum for Three Years
26 june 2014
On the other day, Alexei Ulyukaev, Minister of Economic Development of the Russian Federation made public the position of the Ministry of Economic Development as regards the expected economic growth rates in 2014.
Regional banks facing a serious competition challenge
26 june 2014
This is a reason for which small regional banks will face an increasing difficulty in competing with, firstly, large regional banks and, secondly, federal banks, because large banks have, among other things, easy access to low-cost financing from the central bank and to the interbank lending market.
On State Guarantees to the Russian Military-Industrial Complex in 2014
25 june 2014
On July 24, a number of the mass media, including the Rossiiskaya Gazeta, a state daily published the information of the official document to Resolution No.1060-r of June 16, 2014 of the Government of the Russian Federation (published on June 23) that the volume of state guarantees for enterprises of the Russian military-industrial complex (MIC) would amount to about Rb 380bn (to be more precise – Rb 377.8bn).
The Low Level of the Rate of Unemployment Does Not Help the Russian Economy
23 june 2014
The Rosstat published the data on the social and economic situation of Russia in January-May 2014. So, according to the preliminary outputs of the sample employment survey of households in May 2014 3.7m people or 4.9% of the gainfully occupied population was classified as the unemployed.
Manufacturing Growth is Recovering in Russia
19 june 2014
From February 2014, speed-up of industrial growth rates has been registered. In May 2014, the industrial production index amounted to 102.8% and 101.7% as compared to May 2013 and January-May 2013, respectively.
The Economy is Shrinking While Officials’ Salaries are Growing
19 june 2014
The Rosstat has published the data on the number of state and municipal civil servants at the regional level and their labor remuneration in Q1 2014.
Russia’s Position in the Global Peace Index Improved
18 june 2014
Russia took the 152nd place among 162 countries in the 2014 Global Peace Index published by the International Institute of Economy and Peace (Sydney, Australia and New York, the USA).