Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (April 2018)

Publication date
Thursday, 13.09.2018

Authors
M. Turuntseva, E. Astafieva, M. Bayeva, A. Bozhechkova, A. Buzaev, T. Kiblitskaya, Yu. Ponomarev, A. Skrobotov

Series
Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation

Annotation

This paper presents calculations of various economic indicators for the Russian Federation in May-October of 2018, which were performed using time series models developed as a result of research conducted by the Gaidar Institute over the past few years.

Contents

Introduction to all the issues 2
Industrial production and retail sales 5
Foreign trade indices 8
Dynamics of prices 8
Monetary indices 10
International reserves 10
Foreign exchange rates 11
The living standard indixes 11
Employment and unemployment 12
Annex 13

Notes

Full version
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