Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (April 2016)

Publication date
Thursday, 02.06.2016

M. Turuntseva, E. Astafieva, M. Bayeva, A. Bozhechkova, A. Buzaev, T. Kiblitskaya, Yu. Ponomarev, A. Skrobotov

Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Russian Economic Time Series


This paper presents calculations of various economic indicators for the Russian Federation in the period from May to October 2016, which were performed using time series models developed as a result of research conducted by the Gaidar Institute over the past few years.


Introduction to all the issues 2
Industrial production and retail sales 5
Foreign trade indices 8
Dynamics of prices 8
Monetary indices 10
International reserves 11
Foreign exchange rates 11
The living standard indices 12
Employment and unemployment 12
Annex  14


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