Bulletin of Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (January 2012)

Publication date
Thursday, 01.03.2012

М. Turuntseva Е. Astafieva А. Bozhechkova А. Buzayev V. Idrisova Yu. Ponomarev А. Skrobotov

Bulletin of Model Analysis of Short-Term Forecasts of Socio-Economic Indicators in the Russian Federation

This Bulletin presents calculations of values of different economic indices of the Russian Federation in February-July 2012 made on the basis on the time-series models developed as a result of research carried out by the IEP in the past few years.

Introduction to All the Issues 3
Industrial Production and Retail Sales 5
Industrial production 5
Retail Sales 6
Investments in Capital Assets 7
Foreign Trade Indices 8
Dynamics of Prices 10
The Consumer Price index and Producer Price Indices 10
The dynamics of the cost of the minimum package of food products 11
Indices of Transportation Tariffs on Cargo Carriage 12
The dynamics of prices on some types of primary products on the global market 13
Monetary Indices 14
International (Gold and Foreign Exchange) Reserves 14
Foreign Exchange Rates 15
Indices of the Standard of Living 16
Employment and Unemployment 17
Annex. Diagrams of the Time Series of the Economic Indices of the Russian Federation: the actual and forecast values. 19


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