Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (June 2014)
Publication date
Tuesday, 26.08.2014
Authors
M.Turuntseva, E.Astafieva, M.Bayeva, A.Bozhechkova, A.Buzaev, T.Kiblitskaya, Yu.Ponomarev, A.Skrobotov
Series
Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Russian Economic Time Series
This Bulletin presents calculations of values of different economic indices of the Russian Federation in the second half year of 2014 made on the basis on the time-series models developed as a result of research carried out by the IEP in the past few years.
Contents
Introduction to All the Issues 3
Industrial Production and Retail Sales 6
Industrial production 6
Retail Sales 7
Investments in Capital Assets 8
Foreign Trade Indices 8
Dynamics of Prices 11
The Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Indices 11
The dynamics of the cost of the monthly per capita minimum food basket 12
Indices of Transportation Tariffs 13
The dynamics of world prices on natural resources 14
Monetary Indices 15
International Reserves 16
Foreign Exchange Rates 16
Indices of the Standard of Living 17
Employment and Unemployment 18
Annex. Diagrams of the Time Series of the Economic Indices of the Russian 20
Full version
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