Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (June 2014)

Publication date
Tuesday, 26.08.2014

M.Turuntseva, E.Astafieva, M.Bayeva, A.Bozhechkova, A.Buzaev, T.Kiblitskaya, Yu.Ponomarev, A.Skrobotov

Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Russian Economic Time Series


This Bulletin presents calculations of values of different economic indices of the Russian Federation in the second half year of 2014 made on the basis on the time-series models developed as a result of research carried out by the IEP in the past few years.


Summary table

Introduction to All the Issues    3
Industrial Production and Retail Sales    6
   Industrial production    6
   Retail Sales    7
Investments in Capital Assets    8
Foreign Trade Indices    8
Dynamics of Prices    11
   The Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Indices    11
   The dynamics of the cost of the monthly per capita minimum food basket    12
   Indices of Transportation Tariffs    13
   The dynamics of world prices on natural resources    14
Monetary Indices    15
International Reserves    16
Foreign Exchange Rates    16
Indices of the Standard of Living    17
Employment and Unemployment    18
Annex. Diagrams of the Time Series of the Economic Indices of the Russian    20


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