Russian economy in 2002. Trends and Perspectives (Issue 24)

Publication date
Monday, 10.03.2003

Authors
Group of authors IET

Series
Russian Economy: Trends and Perspecitves

Annotation
The Socio-political Background - Monetary-credit and Budgetary Sphere - The Real Sector - Institutional and Macroeconomic Chalenges.

Tittle, ToC

 

Table of Contents:

Introduction. Economic Growth and Challenges of the Coming Decade     7
Section 1. The Socio-political Background   14
1.1. Economic policy in 2002 and the prospects for national election   14
Section 2. Monetary-credit and Budgetary Sphere   32
2.1. Monetary Policy   32
2.2. Balance of Payments   54
2.3. Public Finances   58
2.3.1. State Budget   58
Appendix 1. Forecasting Tax Revenues in 2002   64
2.1. Monetary Policy   32
2.2. Balance of Payments   54
2.3. Public Finances   58
2.3.1. State Budget   58
Appendix 1. Forecasting Tax Revenues in 2002   64
2.3.2. Federal Budget for 2003 and Macroeconomic Forecast of Social and Economic Development of Russia   68
2.3.3. Interbudgetary Relations and Sub-National Finance   77
2.4. Russia's financial markets   90
2.4.1. The public debt market   90
2.4.2. The Market for Municipal and Subfederal Borrowings   94
2.4.3. The Stock Market 107
Appendix 2. A Review of Changes in the Legislation Regulating Taxation Issues in the Russian Federation 116
Appendix 3. Reforming the Taxation of Small Businesses 141
Appendix 4. Analysis of Certain Results of the Personal Income Taxation Reform 151
Section 3. The Real Sector 154
3.1. Production Macrostructure 154
3.1.1. GDP Production: Dynamics and Structure 154
3.1.2. Use of the GDP: Dynamics and Structure 177
3.2. Situation in the Industrial Sector 184
3.2.1. Dynamics of the Principal Types of Demand in Industrial Products in 2002 184
3.2.2. Development of Competition in Russian Industry in the Post-Default Period 193
3.2.3. Relationship Between Different Types of Competition at the Microeconomic Level 204
3.3. Investment Process in the Real Sector of the Economy 214
3.4. Agrifood Sector 230
3.4.1. Production trends in agriculture, upstream and downstream sectors 231
3.4.2. Financial performance of agricultural producers 233
3.4.3. Agricultural and food markets 235
3.4.4. Foreign trade in agricultural and food commodities 246
3.4.5. Changes in the agricultural policies 249
3.4.6. Outlook for agrifood sector development in 2003 259
Appendix 5. Producer support estimate 259
3.5. Status of the Research and Development Sphere 262
3.6. The Social and Cultural Sphere 280
3.6.1. Public health 283
3.6.2. Education 288
3.7. Foreign economic activities 296
3.7.1. Russia's foreign trade with countries outside the CIS 299
3.7.2. Russia's foreign trade with CIS-countries. 312
3.8. Situation in the Russian Military Complex and Military Reform Trends 343
Section 4. Institutional and Macroeconomic Challenges 320
4.1. The Dynamics of the Privatization Process in Russia 320
Appendix 6. New Privatization Methods and Their Legal Provisions 324
4.2. Key Issues for Improving the Current Privatization  Legislation in the Russian Federation 329
4.3. State property management 335
4.4. Sectoral Peculiarities of Unitary State Enterprises 349
4.5. Certain Trends in the Corporate Sector Development 362
4.6. The Banking Sector 380
4.7. The National Market for Housing in 2002 and up to 2003. 401
Appendix 7. The Progress in the Administrative Reform Area 413

Contents
HTML

Notes

Editor- in- Chief:  Ye. Gaidar
Editorial board: S. Sinelnikov-Murylev, N. Glavatskaya, K. Mezentseva
Texts by: Introduction - Ye. Gaidar; Section 1.1 - V.Mau, V. Novikov; Section 2.1 - S. Drobyshevsky, O. Lugovoy; Section 2.2 and 2.3.3 - I. Trunin; Section 2.3.1 - S. Batkibekov, E. Sharipova; Appendix 1. - S. Batkibekov, S. Ponomarenko; Section 2.3.2 - S. Batkibekov, S. Drobyshevsky, O. Izryadnova, P. Kadochnikov, E. Sharipova; Section 2.4.1 - S. Drobyshevsky; Section 2.4.2 - A. Shadrin; Section 2.4.3 - D. Skripkin; Appendix 2 - L. Anisimova, S. Batkibekov; Appendix 3 - E. Shkrebela; Appendix 4 - S. Batkibekov, P. Kadochnikov, D. Nekipelov, S. Sinelnikov- Murylev; Section 3.1.1 - Yu. Bobylev, O. Izryadnova, T. Logacheva; Section 3.1.2 - O. Izryadnova; Section 3.2 - S. Tsukhlo; Section 3.3 - O. Izryadnova, E. Ilyukhina; Section 3.4 and Appendix 5 - N. Karlova, T. Tikhonova, E. Serova, I. Khramova, O. Shik; Section 3.5 - I. Dezhina; Section 3.6 - I. Rozhdestvenskaya, S. Shishkin; Section 3.7 - N. Volovik, N. Leonova, S. Prikhodko; Section 4.1 and Appendix 6 - A. Radygin, N. Shmeleva; Section 4.2 and 4.3 - G. Malginov, A. Radygin; Section 4.4 - G. Malginov; Section 4.5 - A. Radygin; Section 4.6 - E. Marushkina, L. Mikhailov, L. Sycheva, E. Timofeev; Section 4.7 - G. Malginov, G. Sternik (The Russian realtor guild); Appendix 7 - S. Zhavoronkov, A. Shadrin, K. Yanovsky
Translation: L.Lauchis, N. Kirillov, A. Oshis, A. Panfilov, L. Todorov
Proof-Reading: S. Khoroshkina
Computer design: A.Astakhov, V. Yudichev
Data collection and acquisition: V. Avralov

Russian Economy in 2002. Trends and Outlooks. (Issue 24) - Мoscow: IET, March 2003. –  533 p.
ISBN 5-93255-103-8

The publication of the present paper was sponsored with the grant from the United States Agency for International Development (USAID)


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