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Дата публикации
Пятница, 10.06.2016
Авторы
Дробышевский С.М., Казакова М.В.
Серия
Декомпозиция темпов роста ВВП России
Аннотация
Институт Гайдара продолжает регулярную публикацию декомпозиции темпов роста ВВП России, основанной на собственной методике, подробно описанной в статье Синельников-Мурылев С., Дробышевский С., Казакова М. Декомпозиция темпов роста ВВП России в?1999–2014 ?годах // Экономическая политика. 2014. № 5. С. 7-37. Настоящие расчеты проведены с учетом обновленного прогноза МЭР социально-экономического развития России на 2016–2019 гг. по трем сценариям (базовый, консервативный и целевой), предполагающим пик спада ВВП в 2016 г. (-2,1% для консервативного сценария) и темпы роста ВВП в диапазоне от 1,6 до 4,5% в 2019 г.
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