Trunin Pavel V.
- Candidate of Economic Sciences, Director of the Center for Macro-Economics and Finance
Date of birth: November 29, 1982
Phone: (+7 495) 629 8231
E-mail: pt@iep.ru
Education
• September of 2000 till June of 2004 – M. V. Lomonosov Moscow State University, the Department of Economics, Bachelor course, Diploma cum laude (the average Diploma mark is 5.0);
• July of 2004 till present time – M. V. Lomonosov Moscow State University, the Department of Economics, Master course in Mathematical methods of analysis of the economy;
• July of 2006 till May of 2007 – Institute for the Economy in Transition, PhD.
Foreign languages
• English - fluent
• German and French – the beginner level.
Professional experience
• 2003 till present time – IET, Department of monetary policy, junior research fellow, research fellow, senior research fellow, head of department;
• February of 2006 till November of 2006 – Center of Strategic Research, expert;
• February of 2007 till present time – The Academy of National Economy under the Government of the Russian Federation, Center of Macroeconomic Research of the Institute of the Applied Economic Research, research fellow.
Professional Interests
• monetary policy;
• balance of payments;
• foreign debt;
• industrial and structural policy;
• exchange rates;
• mathematical methods in economics.
Participation in projects
- A comparative analysis of monetary policy in economies in transition – a project in the framework of IET research financed by a grant of the US AID, 2003;
- Choosing monetary policy in an open economy with exogenous export prices– a project in the framework of IET research financed by a grant of the US AID, 2004;
- Problems of creation of a single currency zone in the CIS territory – a project in the framework of IET research financed by a grant of the US AID, 2004;
- Monitoring of financial crises in the RF – a project in the framework of IET research financed by a grant of the US AID, 2004;
- Fiscal federalism and economic development of Russian regions – a joint Russian Canadian project in the framework of CEPRA, 2003;
- Monitoring and forecast of consequences of the reform of the RAO UES of Russia – a project implemented in the framework of cooperation with the RAO UES of Russia, 2003;
- Elaboration of methodological recommendations on the evaluation of fiscal capacity of the subjects of the Russian Federation and medium term planning of tax revenues – an IET project, 2004;
- The analysis of the state of excise taxation of tobacco items and prospects for its reform – an IET project commissioned by the JSC British American Tobacco, 2004;
- Evaluation and analysis of budgetary consequences of structural reforms – a project implemented by IET in cooperation with the Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2004;
- The analysis of the state of excise taxation of tobacco items and prospects for its reform – an IET project commissioned by the JSC British American Tobacco, 2004;
- The Reform of Public Investments on a Regional (Municipal) Level (Nonprofit Fund of Enterprise Restructuring and Development of Financial Institutions), June of 2004 – December of 2005;
- Restructuring public sector and enhancing the efficiency of regional and local budgets’ expenditures, July of 2004 – January of 2007;
- Evaluation and analysis of budgetary consequences of structural reforms – a project implemented by IET in cooperation with the Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2004;
- A comparative analysis of monetary policy in economies in transition – a project in the framework of IET research financed by a grant of the US AID, 2003;
- Choosing monetary policy in an open economy with exogenous export prices – a project in the framework of IET research financed by a grant of the US AID, 2004;
- The Analysis of Alternative Principles and Strategies of Managing the Money of the RF Stabilization Fund (CB of Russia, 2005);
- Monitoring of Indicators – Precursors of Instability of the RF Financial System (on the Basis of Indicators – Precursors of Crises in the RF and Other Countries with Emerging Markets (CB of Russia, 2005-2006);
- The Analysis of Influence of Economic Reform on the Economic Growth and Development of the Real Sector of Russian Economy (“Evrazholding”, 2005);
- Monitoring and forecast of consequences of the reform of the RAO UES of Russia – a project implemented in the framework of cooperation with the RAO UES of Russia, 2003;
- Regional banking systems and investment processes - a project in the framework of IET research financed by a grant of the CEPRA, 2004-2007;
- The Government Policy in the Field of Regulation of Tobacco Items Market and Excise Taxation of Tobacco Items: Analysis of Problems and Prospects for its Reform (JSC “International Tobacco Marketing Services” (BAT-Yava), 2005);
- Implications of Possible Decline of World Oil Prices for the Russian Economy, Center of Strategic Research, 2005-2006;
- Analysis of the Current Macroeconomic Situation in Russia and Development of Quarterly Forecasts of Macroindicators of Development of Russia’s Economy and the World Oil Prices, 2003–2007.
Publications
Monetary and Credit Policy Options for an Oil Exporting Country. Working papers # 77R. Moscow, IET, 2004. (S. Drobyshevsky, A. Kozlovskaya, P. Trunin)
- A comparative analysis of monetary policy in economies in transition. IET Working Papers Series No. 58 R. - M.: IET, 2003. (S. Drobyshevsky, A. Kozlovskaya, D. Levchenko, S. Ponomarenko, P. Trounin, S. Chetverikov);
- Russian economy in 2003. Trends and Perspectives (Issue 25). Section 2.1. Monetary and exchange policy. - M.: IET, 2004 (S. Drobyshevsky, O. Lugovoi, P. Trounin);
- Choosing monetary policy in an open economy with exogenous export prices. - M.: IET, 2004 (S. Drobyshevsky, A. Kozlovskaya, P. Trunin);
- Russian economy in 2004. Trends and perspectives. (Issue 26). Section 2.1.6 The state of the balance of payments. - M.: IET, 2005;
- Some approaches to forecasting economic indicators. The author team: Article 1 – M. Turuntseva; Article 2 – A. Yudin; Article 3 – S. Drobyshevsky, P. Kadochnnikov, S. Ponomarenko; Article 4 – P. Trunin. - M.: IET, 2005;
- Interaction between Capital Flows and Basic Macroeconomic Indicators in Russian Federation. S. Drobyshevsky, P. Trunin. – М.: IET, 2006.
- Russian economy in 2005. Trends and perspectives. (Issue 27). Sections 2.1.3 and 2.1.1, 2.1.2, 2.1.4 (in cooperation with S. Drobyshevsky). - M.: IET, 2006;
- Some Approches to the Development of the System of Indicators for Monitoring the Financial Stability. Drobyshevsky S.M. (team leader), Trunin P.A., Paliy A.A., Knobel A.Yu. - M.: IET, 2007;
- Russian economy in 2006. Trends and perspectives. (Issue 28). Section 2.1 (in cooperation with S. Drobyshevsky). - M.: IET, 2007.
- The Monetary and Budget Spheres // Russian Economy in 2011. Trends and Outlooks. (Issue 33) / Section 2.1 (Co-authors: N. Luksha) - М.: Gaidar Institute Publishers, 2012. P 29-44.
- The Monetary and Budget Spheres // Russian Economy in 2012. Trends and Outlooks. (Issue 34) / Section 2.1 (Co-authors: N. Luksha) - М.: Gaidar Institute Publishers, 2013. P 27-47.
- Monetary Policy//Russian Economy in 2013. Trends and Outlooks. (Issue 35)/Co-authors: A. Bozhechkova, A.Kiyutsevskaya. М.: Gaidar Institute Publishers, 2014. p 33-54
- Monetary Policy//Russian Economy in 2014. Trends and Outlooks. (Issue 36)/Co-authors: М. Khromov, A. Knobel, A. Bozhechkova, A. Kiyutsevskaya. М.: Gaidar Institute Publishers, 2015. p 34-55.
- Suverennye fondy blagosostojanija i denezhnaja politika Rossii / Co-author: S.G. Sinelnikov-Murilev // Finansovyj zhurnal. 2015. №3. P.26–34. [In Russian only]
- Monetary Policy//Russian Economy in 2015. Trends and Outlooks. (Issue 37)/Co-authors: A. Bozhechkova, A.Kiyutsevskaya. М.: Gaidar Institute Publishers, 2016. p 32-54