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Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (July 2016)

26.09.2016

This paper presents calculations of various economic indicators for the Russian Federation in the period from August 2016 to January 2017, which were performed using time series models developed as a result of research conducted by the Gaidar Institute over the past few years.

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Russian Economic Developments №9, 2016 Russian Economic Developments №9, 2016

20.09.2016

Russian industry in H1 2016: zero dynamics - Business fixed investment in H1 2016 - Adaptability index in Q3 2016: alltime high for monitoring years - Russian regions: ongoing slowrolling crisis - The real estate market in the Russian Federation in H1 2016 - Russia in global exports: 2015-2016 - Russian food embargo: minor losses in western countries - Bank of Russia liquidity management of the banking sector: observations based on the past three years experience - The effect of renewable energy sources on the global power industry - The raise of excise tax rates will hamper the tax maneuver

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Monitoring of Russia’s Economic Outlook No. 14(32) September 2016

15.09.2016

Main topics of the issue: Russian regions: ongoing slowrolling crisis - Russian industry in H1 2016: zero dynamics - Adaptability index in Q3 2016: alltime high for monitoring years - Russia in global exports: 2015-2016 - Russian food embargo: minor losses in western countries.

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Russian Economic Developments №8, 2016 Russian Economic Developments №8, 2016

08.09.2016

Balance of payments: January–June 2016 - Regional budgets: debt reductions amid austerity - Banking sector: state banks generate all profit - Pass-through effect: rise in prices in Q3 will slow down - Russian industry in June 2016 (base on data obtained from business surveys conducted by Gaidar Institute) - Adaptability index of Russian industry: still at maximum - Sources of fixed investment: characteristics of investment pause - Russia’s exports in January–May 2016: factors of decline - Income, poverty and prices: trends of 2016 - Strategies of financial behaviour of the population: under the pressure of “News-Driven Economy” - Current estimates and problems of financial literacy measurement in the world practice - State property management: statistical portrait novelties - The specifics of the new state program of development of the militaryindustrial complex.

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Online Monitoring of Russia’s Economic Outlook No. 13(31) July 2016

09.08.2016

Main topics of the issue: Balance of payments: January-June 2016 - Regional budgets: debt reductions amid austerity - Income, poverty and prices: trends of 2016 - Banking sector: state banks generate all profit - Adaptability index of Russian industry: still at maximum.

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