Latest Publications

Russian Economy in 2015. Trends and Outlooks. (Issue 37) Russian Economy in 2015. Trends and Outlooks. (Issue 37)


The review provides a detailed analysis of main trends in Russia's economy in 2015. The paper contains 6 big sections that highlight single aspects of Russia's economic development: the socio-political context; the monetary and credit spheres; financial sphere; the real sector; social sphere; institutional challenges. The paper employs a huge mass of statistical data that forms the basis of original computation and numerous charts.

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Online Monitoring of Russia’s Economic Outlook No. 11(29) July 2016


Main topics of the issue: Brexit results: macroeconomic risks; Brexit and trade and economic relations between Russia and the UK; Post-brexit Britain: its relations with the EU and its future in the framework of multilateral institutions; The Russian economy in expectation of growth; Population’s social sentiment, Q2 2016

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Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (May 2016)


This paper presents calculations of various economic indicators for the Russian Federation in the period from June to November 2016, which were performed using time series models developed as a result of research conducted by the Gaidar Institute over the past few years.

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Online Monitoring of Russia’s Economic Outlook No. 10(28) June 2016


Main topics of the issue: Main trends and conclusions; Macroeconomic forecast for 2016-2018: the economy is passing through the lowest point of the current crisis; Monetary policy of the Russian Сentral Bank: risks and limitations; Oil sector: potential for tax incentives; Russian exports to the EU: a general decline with mixed trends; “Anti-Turkish embargo”: who lost the most?

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Russian Economic Developments №6, 2016 Russian Economic Developments №6, 2016


The federal budget in Q1 2016: revenues and expenditures continue downward trend - Tax maneuver: economic growth acceleration to the detriment of budget consolidation - Retail bank lending: debt burden is decreasing - Russia’s real sector of the economy in January–April 2016: major factors and trends - Decomposition of GDP growth rates in 2016–2019: in expectation of structural changes - Sentiments in industry in May 2016: not good enough but not particularly bad - Russia’s agri-food sector: weak exports, low demand - Imports and exports of services: a simultaneous drop - The real estate market in the Russian Federation in Q1 2016 - Regions in Q1 2016: adaptation to the new reality - Regional labor markets: unstable equilibrium - Science and technologies: in search of a paradigm of the future

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