Latest Publications

Monitoring of Russia’s Economic Outlook No. 2(40) February 2017


Main topics of the issue: Main trends and conclusions; Decline in surplus: balance of payments in 2016; The banking system in 2016: real income is falling; Overdue wage arrears remain low; December 2016: industry is looking for a way out of stagnation.

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Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (November 2016)


This paper presents calculations of various economic indicators for the Russian Federation in
the period from December 2016 to May 2017, which were performed using time series models
developed as a result of research conducted by the Gaidar Institute over the past few years.

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Monitoring of Russia’s Economic Outlook No. 1(39) January 2017


Main topics of the issue: An onset of cyclical growth. macroeconomic forecast for 2016-2018; Inflation: 2016 results; Corporate lending by banks: the ongoing stagnation; Will Russia become food net exporter?

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Monitoring of Russia’s Economic Outlook No. 20(38) December 2016


Main topics of the issue: Russian regions in autumn of 2016: ongoing recession; Adaptability index in industry has hit maximum; Industry in Q3 2016: around zero; October 2016: export decline, import maintained

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Russian Economic Developments №12, 2016


The main areas of monetary policy: price stability, resistance to shocks - The execution of the federal budget for January–October 2016: shrinkage of the oil and gas deficit - Regional budgets: at the end of tether - The real sector: factors and trends - Russian industry in October 2016: cautious optimism inspired by sales - Oil market: low prices retained - The implications of tax maneuver: production of oil and petrochemicals - Growth of the retail bank deposits has slowed down, however cash savings trend remains - Migration in Russia: old trends and new problems - Russian institutional investors and privatization policy.

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