Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (May 2018)


Monday, 13.05.2019


M. Turuntseva, E. Astafieva, M. Bayeva, A. Bozhechkova, A. Buzaev, T. Kiblitskaya, Yu. Ponomarev, A. Skrobotov


Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation


This paper presents calculations of various economic indicators for the Russian Federation in June-November of 2018, which were performed using time series models developed as a result of research conducted by the Gaidar Institute over the past few years.


Introduction to all the issues 2
Industrial production and retail sales 5
Foreign trade indexes 8
Dynamics of prices 8
Monetary indexes 10
International reserves  10
Foreign exchange rates 11
The living standard indexes 11
Employment  12
And unemployment 12
Annex 13



/files/text/prognoz/modelnye_rascheti_kratkosrochnyh_prognozov_socialno-jekonomicheskih_pokazatelej_rf_2018_5eng.pdf