Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (December 2017)

Authors: M. Turuntseva, E. Astafieva, M. Bayeva, A. Bozhechkova, A. Buzaev, T. Kiblitskaya, Yu. Ponomarev, A. Skrobotov

Journal: Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation

Publication date: 09.06.2018

Abstract:

This paper presents calculations of various economic indicators for the Russian Federation in January 2017 – June 2018, which were performed using time series models developed as a result of research conducted by the Gaidar Institute over the past few years .

Contents:

Introduction to all the issues 2
Industrial production and retail sales 5
Foreign trade indices 8
Dynamics of prices 8
Monetary indices 11
International reserves 11
Foreign exchange rates 12
The living standard indixes 12
Employment and unemployment 13
Annex 14

Notes:

Full version: files/text/prognoz/modelnye_rascheti_kratkosrochnyh_prognozov_socialno-jekonomicheskih_pokazatelej_rf_2017_12eng.pdf