Trunin Pavel V.
Doctor of Economic Sciences, Leading Researcher, Center for Macroeconomics and Finance
Phone number: (495) 629-47-13
E-mail: pt@iep.ru
Education
- September of 2000 till June of 2004 – M. V. Lomonosov Moscow State University, the Department of Economics, Bachelor course, Diploma cum laude (the average Diploma mark is 5.0);
- July of 2004 till present time – M. V. Lomonosov Moscow State University, the Department of Economics, Master course in Mathematical methods of analysis of the economy;
- July of 2006 till May of 2007 – Institute for the Economy in Transition, PhD.
Foreign languages
- English - fluent
- German and French – the beginner level.
Professional experience
- 2003 till present time – IET, Department of monetary policy, junior research fellow, research fellow, senior research fellow, head of department;
- February of 2006 till November of 2006 – Center of Strategic Research, expert;
- February of 2007 till present time – The Academy of National Economy under the Government of the Russian Federation, Center of Macroeconomic Research of the Institute of the Applied Economic Research, research fellow.
Professional Interests
- monetary policy;
- balance of payments;
- foreign debt;
- industrial and structural policy;
- exchange rates;
- mathematical methods in economics.
Participation in projects
- A comparative analysis of monetary policy in economies in transition – a project in the framework of IET research financed by a grant of the US AID, 2003;
- Choosing monetary policy in an open economy with exogenous export prices– a project in the framework of IET research financed by a grant of the US AID, 2004;
- Problems of creation of a single currency zone in the CIS territory – a project in the framework of IET research financed by a grant of the US AID, 2004;
- Monitoring of financial crises in the RF – a project in the framework of IET research financed by a grant of the US AID, 2004;
- Fiscal federalism and economic development of Russian regions – a joint Russian Canadian project in the framework of CEPRA, 2003;
- Monitoring and forecast of consequences of the reform of the RAO UES of Russia – a project implemented in the framework of cooperation with the RAO UES of Russia, 2003;
- Elaboration of methodological recommendations on the evaluation of fiscal capacity of the subjects of the Russian Federation and medium term planning of tax revenues – an IET project, 2004;
- The analysis of the state of excise taxation of tobacco items and prospects for its reform – an IET project commissioned by the JSC British American Tobacco, 2004;
- Evaluation and analysis of budgetary consequences of structural reforms – a project implemented by IET in cooperation with the Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2004;
- The analysis of the state of excise taxation of tobacco items and prospects for its reform – an IET project commissioned by the JSC British American Tobacco, 2004;
- The Reform of Public Investments on a Regional (Municipal) Level (Nonprofit Fund of Enterprise Restructuring and Development of Financial Institutions), June of 2004 – December of 2005;
- Restructuring public sector and enhancing the efficiency of regional and local budgets’ expenditures, July of 2004 – January of 2007;
- Evaluation and analysis of budgetary consequences of structural reforms – a project implemented by IET in cooperation with the Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2004;
- A comparative analysis of monetary policy in economies in transition – a project in the framework of IET research financed by a grant of the US AID, 2003;
- Choosing monetary policy in an open economy with exogenous export prices – a project in the framework of IET research financed by a grant of the US AID, 2004;
- The Analysis of Alternative Principles and Strategies of Managing the Money of the RF Stabilization Fund (CB of Russia, 2005);
- Monitoring of Indicators – Precursors of Instability of the RF Financial System (on the Basis of Indicators – Precursors of Crises in the RF and Other Countries with Emerging Markets (CB of Russia, 2005-2006);
- The Analysis of Influence of Economic Reform on the Economic Growth and Development of the Real Sector of Russian Economy (“Evrazholding”, 2005);
- Monitoring and forecast of consequences of the reform of the RAO UES of Russia – a project implemented in the framework of cooperation with the RAO UES of Russia, 2003;
- Regional banking systems and investment processes - a project in the framework of IET research financed by a grant of the CEPRA, 2004-2007;
- The Government Policy in the Field of Regulation of Tobacco Items Market and Excise Taxation of Tobacco Items: Analysis of Problems and Prospects for its Reform (JSC “International Tobacco Marketing Services” (BAT-Yava), 2005);
- Implications of Possible Decline of World Oil Prices for the Russian Economy, Center of Strategic Research, 2005-2006;
- Analysis of the Current Macroeconomic Situation in Russia and Development of Quarterly Forecasts of Macroindicators of Development of Russia’s Economy and the World Oil Prices, 2003–2007.
Publications
- Monetary and Credit Policy Options for an Oil Exporting Country. Working papers # 77R. Moscow, IET, 2004. (S. Drobyshevsky, A. Kozlovskaya, P. Trunin)
- A comparative analysis of monetary policy in economies in transition. IET Working Papers Series No. 58 R. - M.: IET, 2003. (S. Drobyshevsky, A. Kozlovskaya, D. Levchenko, S. Ponomarenko, P. Trounin, S. Chetverikov);
- Russian economy in 2003. Trends and Perspectives (Issue 25). Section 2.1. Monetary and exchange policy. - M.: IET, 2004 (S. Drobyshevsky, O. Lugovoi, P. Trounin);
- Choosing monetary policy in an open economy with exogenous export prices. - M.: IET, 2004 (S. Drobyshevsky, A. Kozlovskaya, P. Trunin);
- Russian economy in 2004. Trends and perspectives. (Issue 26). Section 2.1.6 The state of the balance of payments. - M.: IET, 2005;
- Some approaches to forecasting economic indicators. The author team: Article 1 – M. Turuntseva; Article 2 – A. Yudin; Article 3 – S. Drobyshevsky, P. Kadochnnikov, S. Ponomarenko; Article 4 – P. Trunin. - M.: IET, 2005;
- Interaction between Capital Flows and Basic Macroeconomic Indicators in Russian Federation. S. Drobyshevsky, P. Trunin. – М.: IET, 2006.
- Russian economy in 2005. Trends and perspectives. (Issue 27). Sections 2.1.3 and 2.1.1, 2.1.2, 2.1.4 (in cooperation with S. Drobyshevsky). - M.: IET, 2006;
- Some Approches to the Development of the System of Indicators for Monitoring the Financial Stability. Drobyshevsky S.M. (team leader), Trunin P.A., Paliy A.A., Knobel A.Yu. - M.: IET, 2007;
- Russian economy in 2006. Trends and perspectives. (Issue 28). Section 2.1 (in cooperation with S. Drobyshevsky). - M.: IET, 2007.
- The Monetary and Budget Spheres // Russian Economy in 2011. Trends and Outlooks. (Issue 33) / Section 2.1 (Co-authors: N. Luksha) - М.: Gaidar Institute Publishers, 2012. P 29-44.
- The Monetary and Budget Spheres // Russian Economy in 2012. Trends and Outlooks. (Issue 34) / Section 2.1 (Co-authors: N. Luksha) - М.: Gaidar Institute Publishers, 2013. P 27-47.
- Monetary Policy//Russian Economy in 2013. Trends and Outlooks. (Issue 35)/Co-authors: A. Bozhechkova, A.Kiyutsevskaya. М.: Gaidar Institute Publishers, 2014. p 33-54
- Monetary Policy//Russian Economy in 2014. Trends and Outlooks. (Issue 36)/Co-authors: М. Khromov, A. Knobel, A. Bozhechkova, A. Kiyutsevskaya. М.: Gaidar Institute Publishers, 2015. p 34-55.
- Suverennye fondy blagosostojanija i denezhnaja politika Rossii / Co-author: S.G. Sinelnikov-Murilev // Finansovyj zhurnal. 2015. №3. P.26–34. [In Russian only]
- Monetary Policy//Russian Economy in 2015. Trends and Outlooks. (Issue 37)/Co-authors: A. Bozhechkova, A.Kiyutsevskaya. М.: Gaidar Institute Publishers, 2016. p 32-54