Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (December 2014)
Publication date
Sunday, 15.02.2015
Authors
M.Turuntseva, E.Astafieva, M.Bayeva, A.Bozhechkova, A.Buzaev, T.Kiblitskaya, Yu.Ponomarev, A.Skrobotov
Series
Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Russian Economic Time Series
This Bulletin presents calculations of values of different economic indices of the Russian Federation in the first half of 2015 made on the basis on the time series models developed as a result of research carried out by the IEP in the past few years. The used method of forecasting belongs to the group of formal or statistical methods.
Contents
Introduction to all the issues 2
Industrial production and retail sales 5
Investments in capital assets 6
Foreign trade indices 6
Dynamics of prices 7
Monetary indices 10
International reserves 11
Foreign exchange rates 11
The standard of living indices 12
Employment and unemployment 13
Annex 14
Full version
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